Friday, February 03, 2012

Counterpoint

"I find Facebook’s impending glory a bit awkward, as it touches on two themes I have written about previously. One is that I just don’t like Facebook. And, I confess, I don’t really understand it. I sort of understand why people like it, but I don’t really understand why it’s going to be the most valuable technology company on the planet in a few years. I don’t understand why anyone would ever click on an ad within Facebook (or why anyone would even see them, since you could just use AdBlock), since I don’t understand why you would want your shopping choices to be dictated by who is willing to spend the most money for your attention. (When I want to buy something, I prefer using organic Google search results, since at least they aren’t affected by ad spending.) Maybe I’m just too old.

At the same time, it’s pretty clear by now that Facebook does whatever it is that it does pretty well. $1 billion in annual profits is impressive, and it’s also considered a pretty good place to work. And who is the CEO of Facebook? A twenty-seven-year-old kid with no other work experience. So while, as a customer (“user,” in software industry parlance), I’m less than thrilled, I can’t deny that Zuckerberg is doing something right as a CEO. Which is further evidence that the myth of the experienced CEO and the cult of the generalist manager are just a myth and a cult, as I’ve written about before. According to Reuters, Zuckerberg will soon be the fourth-richest person in America, after Bill Gates, Warren Buffett, and Larry Ellison. Which means that, like Gates and Ellison, it’s a good thing he never let anyone convince him that his company needed an experienced CEO."

Facebook and Mark Zuckerberg - The Baseline Scenario

Gawd.. maybe I'm just too old too. This expresses my feelings exactly, but I think you are standing in front of a train and should buy the stock anyway.

1 comment:

Dominic H said...

Interesting article in today's FT by John Gapper suggesting FaceBook cancel the IPO and that it continue to be run as a private company. That way Zuckerberg will not have to justify himself to shareholders. He will control 50%+ of the votes even after the IPO. The company admits cashflow is adequate to fund ongoing business. The IPO is to raise cash to allow staff to pay their tax bill from the conversion of restricted stock units.